Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Mon Mar 08 18:42:40 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus i think people in this thread already offered one: the plain evidence that the economy affects presidential approval, which is much easier to see when you expand beyond n=17 to the dataset to the whole of a presidency — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus if it is a driving factor--and i'm not sure it is, but very well could be--i think it would be very difficult to identify with such a small number of data points and our inability to specify a full model of presidential approval — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus (you may recall that was my remedy in the presidential election context, interestingly, as you wind up adding many of those seeming 'outlier' cases like 9/11, Vietnam, etc. which would probably really effect a presidential election but didn't happen in years divisible by four) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021