Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Mon Mar 08 17:36:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus and we talked about this a lot over the summer, so i won't recapitulate my views about how to think about this, but you can start by crossing off the years with military deployments/operations to see how it applies in this case — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus one possibility is that the economy doesn't matter in even number years that aren't divisible by four; the other possibility is that the economy always matters quite a bit, but it's one of many factors, and so when you reduce to n=17 you don't have a clear relationship — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus i think we disagree on whether it's not 'a driving' factor v. 'the driving' factor — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021