Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Mon Mar 08 17:20:21 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus and that's leaving aside that the reasonable argument advanced by others in this thread--that there's plenty of reason to think that the economy affects evaluations of the president, and everyone agrees presidential approval is predictive — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus but in this thread you've made a bolder argument that shifts the burden of proof. you're not simply arguing that the economy isn't the dominant factor; you're arguing it's basically irrelevant if it doesn't clearly show up in a regression of n=17. and that doesn't follow! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus one possibility is that the economy doesn't matter in even number years that aren't divisible by four; the other possibility is that the economy always matters quite a bit, but it's one of many factors, and so when you reduce to n=17 you don't have a clear relationship — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021