Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Fri Mar 05 18:19:42 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @otis_reid @ElectProject and i think the emphasis is remains notable. if you go from turnout to incumbency, perhaps the two most convenient theories for progressives, it makes me suspicious about the extent that wishful thinking v evidence is driving the convo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @otis_reid @ElectProject right, that's the theory. leaving aside what i think of the evidence for the theory, which i think is plausible but hardly conclusively, i think it would be a much stronger theory if the incumbent house democrats weren't doing just as bad or worse than biden in latino areas — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @otis_reid @ElectProject varies by seat. dems ran behind in TX23 (open); ran ~even in TX15 (Gonzalez), ran well ahead in TX15 (Vela) and 15 pts ahead in TX28 (Cuellar). But it's not an easy story that it's just Trump when TX15 is d+3 w a dem incumbent — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021