Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Fri Mar 05 16:12:13 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@otis_reid @tbonier c) when we're talking about an extremely high turnout election like this one, i don't see why we would ever suppose that a decline in turnout is anything other than a problem with persuasion — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021 Deleted

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@otis_reid @tbonier a) on the question of whether we ought to assume 9/10 pts, see attached b) it seems to me that these 16/20 turnout swings are based on '16 registration figures; some proportion of the apparent turnout shift is folks changing their registration https://t.co/CenYcziK3J — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@otis_reid @tbonier or if you prefer visual regression https://t.co/yMMAZvH4St — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021