Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2021

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Fri Feb 19 20:25:31 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris and i think your model's estimate may be a better measure of whether people had 'appropriate' expectations for WI polling than moving the goal posts all the way to 'no result is a surprise' — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris it wasn't exactly a dunk, at least not on your model. i was sympathizing with it, in a certain sense, as i do think it was reasonable for your model to be surprised--even if not quite 98% surprised--by the WI polls. they were bad, including ours! it wasn't 'slightly above avg' — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris i interpreted your comment to be about the WI polls, since you quoted a tweet about them, but your replies here suggest that you did not mean that the WI polling error was slightly above average — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2021