Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2022

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Thu Jan 07 19:02:21 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My *guess* based on the precinct data and the early vote is that the Black share of the electorate will go up by around 2 points over the general election, to its highest level since 2012. But we'll have authoritative data to be sure in a few weeks — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Instead, Democrats ran a net-3 points ahead of November by riding a far stronger turnout--especially among Black voters. As a result, turnout remained highest and Democratic vote share increased most in majority Black areas — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, I know many were displeased w my view that Black turnout in Nov. was fairly disappointing, as their share of the vote declined to its lowest level since '06 I'll just say that this interpretation helps make sense of the Tues. result, and made it easier to see coming https://t.co/Hocp3Y43Kq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021 Hibernated