Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2022

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Thu Jan 07 18:55:34 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One fun way to check the proposition that turnout was decisive: if you take the Ossoff/Perdue tallies in November, and use precinct data to infer what proportion of Biden/Trump voters returned (which is not a safe assumption!) you get Ossoff +.4 with no switching — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We won't have an authoritative account for a bit, but based on what I see, there's basically no evidence of significant, net-Democratic vote switching since November. Instead, turnout held stronger in Democratic areas than GOP areas — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another piece of evidence: Republicans continued to run far ahead of Biden in the relatively white, affluent, well-educated precincts on the northside of Atlanta that put Biden over the top in November, as you can see on the great map by @charlie_smart_ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021 Hibernated