Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Wed Jan 06 00:47:57 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A wash, if it kept up, would not work out for the GOP. Dems running ahead of our expectations on advance vote (mainly mail), so they'll have to make that up at some point (whether by doing better in remaining advance or election day vote) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's still very early, but here's an initial look at election day vote with 14k votes highly unrepresentative votes processed: Election day turnout 6% higher than our baseline (bad for Dems) Dems running 1.5 pts ahead of what we expected (good for Dems) Together: ~wash — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you've been watching the needle, you know that Democrats have very consistently--if subtly--run ahead of expectations. But I think this textbox does a nice job of showing it just wouldn't take much the rest of the way to cancel it out https://t.co/lFCNtMcfZK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated