Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@blfraga is there an empirical basis to assume that the general election vote by method distribution is terribly predictive, especially in a case when there were far early voting opportunities? doesn't look like it to me — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@blfraga i'm missing the inference you're making from this. i don't see any surprise that EIPV-->early vote would remain overwhelmingly EIPIV. am i supposed to take 12% ED-->EIPV as prima facia evidence that the flow will only run in that direction? 12% IPEV-->ED would be 450k votes! — PolitiTweet.org