Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 9, 2022

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Sun Jan 03 16:16:11 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Let's talk about what the GOP, and more specifically David Perdue, needs to do on Election Day in order to prevail. It's nothing impossible, in my view. But it's worth thinking through where the GOP burden stands after the strong Democratic early vote in Georgia — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

you'll note, for instance, that voters who turned out for early voting last time but haven't voted yet (iepv, none) are very trumpy. those who voted absentee both times are very democratic — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Let's stipulate for this whole discussion that absolutely no one has changed their vote since the election. If so, then our estimate is that Ossoff will amass a lead of around 350k out of the advance vote, including what he'll net out of ~100k absentee votes still to arrive — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021 Hibernated