Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Today, runoff early voting will approach 80% of the general, though there were fewer opportunities to apply for a ballot and fewer days of early voting. We're at 94% of 2020 turnout if you adjust for days lost--though otoh folks could choose to vote on a similar day — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Early voting has been particularly Dem. By our estimates, early voting turnout among Biden voters is at 84% of general election levels. If you think that persists on Election Day, then you wind up at something like 2.1 million Biden voters, even if you don't adjust for lost days — PolitiTweet.org