Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 5, 2022

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Fri Jan 01 22:42:38 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ReubenR80027912 our estimate is that biden won 57% of young voters, with the support of 34% of young whites and 91% of young black voters (who were 29% of the 18-29 vote). the exits and votecast survey find the same basic thing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 1, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Of course, and you should expect it unless you think the Dems are going to just run away with the race (which I suppose they could but I don't see how that's likely) https://t.co/UTyioUYqFA — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn What is your intuition as to the ranges? Could they really outperform the general as a percentage?

Posted Jan. 1, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@lxeagle17 i don't have an estimate; i don't think there's a strong empirical basis for thinking about turnout in this election. but the early vote looks like the early vote for a general election, and I have far fewer substantive objections to a guesstimate of 30% than 20% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 1, 2021 Hibernated