Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Tue Dec 29 14:17:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I can also say, at this point fairly definitively, that the Ds will come out of the advanced vote with a more favorable *electorate* than the adv. vote in the general. Now the GOP can beat it back on eday, of course. But it will factor into interpreting results on Election Night — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But what I can say is that *if* the Dems were on track to increase the Black share of the electorate by a few points, and in doing so nudge Warnock over the top and Ossoff into a deadheat if preferences were unchanged, that this is what I would have guessed it might look like — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Among Times/Siena poll respondents from Sept/Oct, Biden led 56-36 among voters who have now voted in the runoff. He led 51-40 among those who had voted by an equivalent point in the general election — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2020 Hibernated