Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Tue Dec 29 13:50:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'll offer two ways of trying to account for this. It's not perfect, but there are many circumstances in which it still permits useful analysis. 1) Remove those same days of in-person voting (not mail) from the advanced vote in October; 2) A direct day-to-day comparison — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As we've expected from the start, this creates a challenge for comparing where we stand now v. the general election. Day 11-13 were fairly good days for the GOP in Oct.; they run farther behind without those days, but we have no reason to think that's for a meaningful reason — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That first comparison--removing ipev from GE holiday-equiv. --will be represented with a dotted line, shown here. This isn't perfect: one could imagine, for ex., that someone who would have voted on day 12 will now vote on day 18, boosting later tallies. But still useful context https://t.co/yWvMEXRhBn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2020 Hibernated