Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Dec 21 14:42:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PetraOreskovic the estimates for biden support are adjusted to the result by precinct x vote method, so whatever partisan nonresponse bias might exist would be ironed out. separately, the GA poll results were pretty good so the adjustments have little effect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Of course, in the end the Democrats will probably need to do better in advanced voting than they did in the general, simply to makeup for their deficit in the general. And even then, election day could be more GOP to cancel it out — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PetraOreskovic and finally, since our analysis mainly just compares to the general election, bias wouldn't be a big issue unless we thought it affected one election but not the other — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated