Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Dec 18 14:09:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

After yesterday, there's now no difference in the partisan composition of in-person early voters v. the general election. And again, if the absentee vote drops off more than early vote, Dems will want to compensate by finishing better in early than they did in the general https://t.co/nIxfB8DH80 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's some case that might be happening. Over all, 8% of in-person early voters were ge abs voters, and this is a Dem group. And this week, there's been a bit of a trend toward Dems v. the ge, with yesterday Dems plainly faring better for the first time https://t.co/Dl2kIJd1Er — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Until then (or until early voting drops off a lot), Dems will run a bit behind the general election on the total advanced vote, including abs+in person. Again, I'm not sure they should be expected to run even yet, given abs dropoff. But in the end, this is the thing to watch https://t.co/tG3ZOuXpoV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020 Hibernated