Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Dec 18 14:03:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One is that there are fewer absentee votes--and those are heavily Democratic. This is expected: far fewer realistic opportunities for voters to request a ballot for this special than the general. And some counties may be behind https://t.co/1x6B9Wy1YP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As I've said, the big takeaway is that the turnout looks like it will be healthy and high, and it's not obvious who it will help v. the general. As I've mentioned, there are crosscutting patterns at play that make it difficult to sort out where we'll end up. Let's look at a few — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, of course, if in-person and election day voting drop just as much (or more), then this isn't actually an issue for Democrats at all. That would have been a very reasonable assumption before early voting. Now I'm not totally sure! We'll have to wait and see — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020 Hibernated