Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Dec 03 15:39:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or it's just the classic 'winners bias' in recalled voting. Or there's no recalled vote bias, and the sample is just biased toward Democrats, like many pre-election polls were https://t.co/bqBjsXdFzt — PolitiTweet.org

This poll implies a drop-off in Republican turnout. It has Biden +4 among the likely voter electorate for the runof… https://t.co/d23g2vwhK0

Posted Dec. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ijbailey yes, i think the piece would have been stronger if it also talked about the decline in the white share of the electorate, which was a piece of flipping the state blue. but i don't think either claim would be misleading — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In all seriousness: we just had an accurate poll of 5 million Georgians last month, and barring a huge shift--not suggested by any data at this point--I'm just not sure we have a great empirical basis to know how to balance that hard data with the pre-election polling — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 3, 2020 Hibernated