Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 12, 2022

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Wed Dec 02 18:16:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the majority black wards of Milwaukee, turnout fell beneath 2016 levels. In Philadelphia's majority black wards, there was basically no change. TBH, the only interesting question is whether these spots are in more severe population declines than the census says — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This isn't specific to Georgia. It appears to be true in NC, where the data is of similar quality and nearly all of it is in. It's probably true in MI/WI/PA, where the data isn't of similar quality but the same geographic pattern--relatively weak turnout in MIL/PHI/DET holds — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, as I said, if you go down the road of allocating the 'unknown' voters you wind up having to debate about it. The data at my disposal says they're no more likely to be black--and probably less--than voters of 'known' race. https://t.co/JJPeUpuKBP — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn How does it not materially affect your findings? If 100% of 'unknown' voters turned out to be black, wou… https://t.co/uAoju4QCmt

Posted Dec. 2, 2020 Hibernated