Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sun Nov 29 15:48:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

With all of that cause for humility in mind, the assumptions underpinning the opinion piece cited at the outset are... really going beyond what we can do with the data. And it's pretty unlikely given what we do know — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Unfortunately, I don't think we're going to resolve these questions to the extent we could in prior elections, even when all of the data arrives, and that's even before considering the extent that the modest changes from 2016 raised the level of precision we needed to do well — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the final account, Trump will fare around 4 pts better in the tipping point state (Wisconsin) than he did nationwide. It's a huge gap, but it's not necessarily a huge surprise — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 1, 2020 Hibernated