Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sun Nov 29 15:34:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We know the national surveys were off by 4 points or so. Worse, we have reason to believe they're off in very specific ways--like a severe underestimate of Trump's strength among white working class voters — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Usually, most of the exacting analysis is done with pre-election survey data! Unfortunately, this year's pre-election survey data is as bad as it's been in a competitive election in a very, very long time--and in ways that are quite material for unpacking the story — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But we that's only what we know about, based on the limited, exact data I mentioned earlier. We have no idea whether they were also off by a lot on say, young voters or women. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated