Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 17 15:45:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

By race, we have a story fairly similar to Georgia. Over all, 79.4% of white registered voters turned out v. 69.5% of Black voters. That's a 7 pt. increase in white turnout rate, and a 4 pt increase in black turnout — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As I mentioned, I think it's possible that it doesn't wind up quite that good for Democrats in the end. But if we do suppose for a second that these turnout rates hold statewide, then you get a D+3.5 electorate v. D+5.3 registration. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

On all of these turnout rate statistics, the denominator is the registered voter population. And as in Georgia, the black share of registered voters has declined since 2016, so the decline in the black share of the electorate is greater than these turnout rates suggest — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated