Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 17 13:15:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's some upside for Democrats in this graphic, btw. There's room for the Black share of the electorate to increase in the Senate runoff, and maybe make up for a bit of the deficit Dem Sen. candidates faced on Election Day https://t.co/3BdzaQtYW4 — PolitiTweet.org

Georgia is the first state where we have fully updated vote history data, and it shows the Black share of the elect… https://t.co/kVbIsSBwvv

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To reiterate what I said earlier: there's no way around concluding that the white share of the electorate was lower than 2016--maybe around 2 pts--while Hispanic/Asian/Other were up about the same. But nailing this down is a real mess, given the size of these groups v. 'unknown' — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Since maybe I didn't link it all together clearly: if the 'unknowns' are relatively white and backed Trump (as they did in Times/Siena polling), then changes in the racial composition of the electorate all canceled out and made no discernible contribution to Biden's gains — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated