Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 17 12:04:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We also have a lot of data at the county/precinct level elsewhere in the country suggesting the story will hold just about everywhere. TBH, Georgia was one of the very few places where it seemed like this story might not be true — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Georgia's the first of these states to fully update its vote history file. But we do already have some data from about 10% of N.C., and it has the exact same story: the Black share of the electorate drops notably as white turnout surges and Black turnout ticks up a few points — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So while the final analysis of the election won't be... final for a long time to come, I think we can pencil in that the final account will show that Black turnout ticked up, but not nearly as much as non-Black turnout, yielding a decline in the Black share of the electorate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Hibernated Just a Typo