Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Nov 12 21:02:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Next up is Arizona, where Trump has no realistic hope of mounting a comeback but where none of the news network decision desks have made a projection (excluding the erroneous AP/Fox call on Election Night). Why isn't this one called? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

First, we've uncalled NJ-07, which the AP called some time ago. In general, we automatically accept AP calls (a few exceptions, like top presidential states--where we independently evaluate whether to accept). I think we've seen enough to say the NJ-07 call was premature — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't think the non-call reflects a considered judgment that Trump has a realistic path. I do think when the race is this close, though, that there are 1-1000 risks of irregularities, data errors and so on. So my guess: it's just caution with a margin < .5 pts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated