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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 10 21:49:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

IDK if that's true, but it sure seems to me like Edison Research's vote left estimate thinks the same thing https://t.co/2m8VopIRMU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To take one example that could help Democrats: I don't really understand why there aren't ~10k more early votes in Orange County (Chapel Hill). There are about 40k, but the absentee file--as I interpret it, and maybe I messed up--suggests there should be 50k — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, even this wouldn't get you to a Biden victory! He needs a lot more than an extra 10k. But I do wonder whether these oddities have created an extra degree of caution beyond the outstanding raw provisionals / late absentees, which just don't add up to a credible case for Ds — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated