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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Sun Nov 08 23:09:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If the remaining votes are like tonight's votes, then this isn't GA. Not sure whether the decision desks will see it that way or not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now Trump needs a 22 pt. lead among the remaining ~90k ballots, and some won't ultimately be valid. At this point, there's no reason to expect that kind of advantage. The only real question is whether we end up in a GA-like situation, where there's an obvious winner but no call — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is also a case where data quality is a factor. About half of the votes are provisionals; half late mail. If the state released results by type (like GA), we could have a clear picture of where we're headed. As it is, the desks don't know for sure — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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