Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Nov 07 21:48:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There was a point on Tuesday night--not sure the time, you can probably find the tweet--when the eastern Ohio counties came in and I think I would have thought very hard about calling Trump the favorite https://t.co/ISVvm1b3aS — PolitiTweet.org

If you were looking at the data carefully, I'm not sure Biden was ever an underdog at any point from 7pm Tuesday on… https://t.co/lBWL2iaXpC

Posted Nov. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I see no effect of 11/4 coronavirus cases on either turnout or vote, controlling for standard demogs, in county level data (could change w more results). My pre-election prior was COVID cases would help Biden; my post-election hunch was it might have hurt him (WI) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There was some conflicting info among white northerners at that point: MN/ME/NH were fine for Biden, WI was close, and rural OH/IA were worse than 2016. IDK how I would have sorted it out if forced. But there was no way to know that this red wasn't bleeding to PA https://t.co/pJjlgRrLCh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2020 Hibernated