Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 31 23:36:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is most certainly the president's best poll result in a very long time--perhaps of the whole cycle. Biden campaigned there yesterday, so it's quite obvious that this isn't how they see the race here. But campaigns have been wrong before — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41. That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern sweep https://t.co/bIOVhFRaQh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is also worth noting, though, that Selzer can be wrong, and has been before. No pollster has been put on a higher pedestal, but in the end everyone in this business is subject to sampling error and so on. If you expect perfection out of N=800 polls, you won't get it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated