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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Tue Oct 27 17:42:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Taniel @NickRiccardi @ThePlumLineGS I'd push back on this year, fwiw. I know everyone's fixated on our TX poll, but our polls have been way better than average for Dems in Arizona — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And I'd keep in mind here that this isn't just a difficult group to poll, it's also a tough group to define. Question-wording matters, and different ways of defining the group can yield different results for both the size of the Latino vote and its vote choice — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's an entirely separate way you can define it, too: based on a model of Hispanic ethncity, based on surnames/geography, or based on self-report. If Latino Decisions or other firms use that, and then screen on self-report after that, you get a *very* Dem group of Latino vts — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo

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