Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Oct 26 17:29:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The question, though, is why were we wrong? Was it because of sampling--we just can't reach the right voters? If so, then the pattern would repeat itself. But there are other possible causes that may not repeat itself--at least not to the same extent — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, we certainly did underestimate Hispanic turnout/vote in '18. And it's possible we'll do so again. Hispanic voters are challenging everywhere, but this is a state where there's no real record of competitive races, no party registration, etc https://t.co/i3hwt8JKS4 — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Are you gonna address the elephant in the room - your performance with texas hispanics in 2018 and how y… https://t.co/pDTtCTxGqP

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Take our polls of AZ and NV, for instance. In '18, we had McSally and Heller ahead--wrongly. I'd argue our AZ polls have been the very best for Dems of anyone so far this cycle. NV seems perfectly reasonable. So I don't think 18 necessarily predicts 20 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated