Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 24 22:29:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's potentially pretty useful data. Wisconsin is not a state with party registration or partisan primary vote, so all of this lopsided mail voting does make it easier to identify Democrats and Republicans... though doing so does come with risks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We've conducted four polls of Wisconsin over the last year, and we can go back and join them up to some of the absentee voting data there. It's a little out of date, but the folks who have already voted, per our data, backed Biden... 82-18 among decided major party voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The risk, interestingly, is that using this data could hurt Democrats in a Wisconsin poll. In general, partisans are most likely to respond to surveys. Here, we have a great way to see Dems! But we don't quite have a similar way to see Republicans, so they might remain too high — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated