Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 24 11:51:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This could change as more mail ballots come in, of course. But if this holds up, it would complicate the kind of doomsday scenario we've talked about, where Trump led on Election Night and Biden overtook later. At least here, it could be reversed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One important election night twist: early mail ballots are really good for Biden in Arizona so far, reversing the traditional pattern (you may recall McSally led and then Sinema over took post election day). Now, I'd expect Biden to have the Election Night lead in Arizona. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yes, but Arizona is unique: it's the only battleground that counts mail votes first *and* won't have a full count done by the end of the night. In this respect, it's the flip side of PA. FL/NC ought to have pretty decent counts at the end of the night. https://t.co/CgynD0gkfU — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Don’t Florida and North Carolina release the counts of their mail-in/early ballots first as well?

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated