Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Oct 23 16:56:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One interesting thing here is that we can see some of the party registration flipping by looking at older polls. The folks that are currently registered Republicans, but who weren't at the time we polled there are Trump 87, Biden 6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For context: the three polls, together, were Biden+5 among RVs, 46-41. Weights are same as original. Here's their vote and party reg: Returned mail: Biden 60, Trump 32 (D49, R30) In-person early: Trump 46, Biden 41 (D36, R43) Not yet voting: Trump 43, Biden 42 (D31, R38) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One of these polls was just a few weeks ago, while another was a full year ago. So it's not a great way to look at this question. But we even with 1/3 of this being recent, and with old sample including no new reg voters, the Dem party reg. advantage of our sample declined by .5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated