Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 21:27:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kwcollins I agree; there's a real case for stability, dating all the way back to Jan 17, and there are issues with the case that it was just COVID. But at the same time, I do think there are similar issues with the case that Trump's defeat was inevitable, should it materialize — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kwcollins And at the time, a lot of people tried to explain away Trump's strength in Jan/February polling as about impeachment! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris I don't think there was ever a day when Trump would have been favored in the nowcast, but I do think it was competitive. At that time, Trump still had ~'16 levels of support among white no college voters in the polls and PA/WI/MI were all close in the FiveThirtyEight avg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated