Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The polling, though, was fairly clear: maybe Biden only up by about 5 among RVs at the end of the primary. The polls in Wisconsin were super close. The national polls showed Trump matching his '16 standing among white working class voters, which is nowhere near true today — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, we'll never know what would have happened without COVID. But if you go through those FiveThirtyEight poll averages and look at where they were in March/April, I think you at least have to acknowledge that's very very different than where we are now — PolitiTweet.org