Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 12:19:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Maybe I'll try and make some kind of self-report based estimate that models our post-VF weighted self-reported race in GA/FL/NC/SC as a function of the census-based estimates, and fall back on that as an alternative to just weighting on the census-based est — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mattyglesias FL has self-reported voter file race. It would be an issue in TX as well, though I think here they might cancel out to an extent, as maybe we'd have more Hispanic voters but fewer black voters than we'd guess. I think the high black, no hispanic states (say MI) would be scariest — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@b_schaffner @blfraga I do think this is about more than turnout, fwiw, like the Hispanic overreport in our poll — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated