Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And indeed, that's what our poll shows: basically the same pattern and of a similar magnitude to our SC/NC/FL/GA data, when comparing our self-report to the census-based target. What will be tough: if we run into a state where the gap is quite a bit larger. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mattyglesias FL has self-reported voter file race. It would be an issue in TX as well, though I think here they might cancel out to an extent, as maybe we'd have more Hispanic voters but fewer black voters than we'd guess. I think the high black, no hispanic states (say MI) would be scariest — PolitiTweet.org