Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Oct 21 17:25:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The poll is R+6 by party identification and Trump+10 by recalled vote. But Trump only has an 86-9 lead among his 2016 voters, which I think is the worst of any poll we've done so far? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One note, given the Monmouth poll today: there is no LV/RV gap in the survey, perhaps in part because we do not give any bonus to having 'already voted' compared to saying you're 'almost certain to vote,' to avoid biasing the survey toward early voters — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Senate result is a bit surprising! It's Ernst's first lead in a nonpartisan poll in six weeks, and I'd note that the Monmouth poll today was tied among RVs, as well. So maybe this race hasn't slipped out of the GOP's hands quite yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated