Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 23, 2021

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Sat Oct 17 20:23:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yeah, and the Nevada voting situation--like every where--is quite a bit different. Way more mail voting. You can still vote in person. Who knows. https://t.co/hOckCkKhdp — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn More plausibly, the early vote might but be unbiased this year.

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should note, btw, that this thread is merely describing why advanced-vote based estimates have panned out well to date. There's no guarantee these conditions hold in the future, including this year. I don't *think* a D+4 electorate in NV will vote T, but we've seen it before — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A historical note: 10/18 was more-or-less Clinton's October peak four years ago, as she topped out with a national lead of around 7 percentage points — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated