Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 17 14:07:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This works both ways, to be clear: if a hypothetical early vote is D+15 by reg and the election day vote is R+15, then the early vote might be Biden+25 and the election day vote might be Trump+25 (just as an ex.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You'll see a lot of early voting statistics out there that cite the partisan makeup of early voters, like, say, a D+15 among absentees in Florida, based on registration. But remember this: the presidential preference of these voters is even more skewed than the party reg. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically, the reg Dems/GOP/Ind voting early are all better for Biden than those who intend to vote on Election Day, and vice versa. If you prefer: the force drawing Dems than Reps to mail is also luring a relatively Dem set of Reps/INDs, and the most Dem set of Dems, and so on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated