Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 17 01:02:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, I do think this data is highly relevant for interpreting the results on Election Night. The vote-by-method gaps are going to be really, really big in some states, and there's basically nothing that should surprise you. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our polling so far, Democrats and Republicans are just as likely to say they'll vote, but Democrats are way, way likelier to say they'll vote early. So Ds can do basically anything in the advanced vote and I'll still think the likeliest outcome is GOP counters on Election Day — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Mainly turnout levels. We'll reach the point where a 2016 turnout is basically impossible, either mathematically or given the number of highly reliable voters still outstanding https://t.co/bQ3Iw2KVJP — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn What would be an example of a point where some scenarios were eliminated from early vote?

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated