Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Oct 12 17:06:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Alone, voters flipping from Trump-->Biden v. Clinton-->Trump turn the president's 3 point lead among 2016 voters into a 3 point deficit, giving Biden a comfortable lead in the region without any change in turnout or gains among minor party voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Joe Biden leads in Times/Siena polls of the northern battlegrounds by 6 points this fall, even though our respondents said they voted for Trump by 3 points four years ago. How? The president faces modest but significant defections . https://t.co/olAsCQgqYp https://t.co/9Tv7Z56Mzo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

On top of that, Biden also wins minor party voters by a significant margin, taking his 3 point lead to a 5 point lead. Then, a slightly more favorable turnout brings his lead from 5 to 6 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated