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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 10 14:31:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Honestly, I think this is a terrible mistake. It is extremely obvious that the mail-eday vote will be biased in ways that go way beyond our prior experiences, expectations, or what's implied by the party registration. Just wait for it to finish. https://t.co/putci8ttYS — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pro tip: if Trump doesn't win Sumter Co. (The Villages) at least two-to-one, he's not winning FL - or a second term… https://t.co/7zp23M93uU

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So that's pretty tough in this case. We're getting in toward three weeks until an election. We could try it and be stuck with a real mess, and we probably couldn't go back for a second round, even if a first try yielded the kind of insights that might let us do it well — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

TLDR: I would not consider this game over for the president. Not at all. https://t.co/sSdbwQi6Ue — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If we see Sumter mail/early results at 7pm that come in something like 62%-37% for Trump w/ more than 75k ballots c… https://t.co/CoYSpT7BiH

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated