Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@KelleyNorth @BruneElections @SeanTrende @kkondik the overall result of the survey would be essentially unchanged, 46-45 biden, if the poll included no new voters. but if you're comparing two small subgroups--2016 voters--to another 2020 voters--you don't have an apples-to-apples comparison — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One fascinating thing is that most people look at these maps and think there are too many people in the cities. In both states, the raw sample is slightly too rural (and weighted appropriately) https://t.co/aprzWbCw7i — PolitiTweet.org