Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 03 15:31:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Pennsylvania poll was pretty in line with the poll averages and our pre-debate poll, which found Biden+9. I should note that this sample was much more GOP (R+1, in fact) than our prior sample by party identification, so we might just have a better-for-Trump sample this time — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's just a subsample, so big MoEs here, but we found no evidence of the big Trump gains among Hispanic voters in Florida or in Miami-Dade County. Biden even narrowly led a (very small) sample of Cuban voters; they were R 47-28 by registration. Again, small samples but... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Nonetheless, if you take the two PA polls together we've got Biden+8 with N>1400 in perhaps the most important state with just over a month until the election. This is a fairly daunting deficit in a stable race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated