Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Sep 29 13:00:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And at this point, I do think it's fair to say that many people have internalized an assumption that the Trump act works, because it has before. The polls say something very different. But it's part of how you get people sure he's going to surge because of Kenosha and so on — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or put differently, if you went through all of 2016 assuming the Trump act was an electoral catastrophe, you would have undoubtedly come away thinking he had blown it yet again. If after the 2016 result you revisit that assumption, you'd undoubtedly reinterpret the debate as well — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I think the outcome of '16 totally colors everything about how people analyze the superficial dimensions of politics, particularly for Trump. I don't think the reevaluation is 100% wrong, but the polls certainly suggest that there's danger in overcorrection — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2020 Hibernated