Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Sep 28 17:22:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Their state polls are off of lists of registered voters--like Times/Siena polls. They're weighted by party and screen on prior turnout. The national polls are random-digit-dialing of all adults, like an ABC/Post poll. They weight on census demos and screen on self-reported reg. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And Monmouth's national polls and state polls simply aren't alike. They're not methodologically comparable. For the purposes of house effects and so on, they may as well be two completely different firms — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The ABC post poll is good and I don't think there's anything wrong with Monmouth's methodology. I'm just saying that I don't think you can draw inferences about the lean of their national poll based on their state polls and vice versa https://t.co/eeYao72n83 — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn ABC/post is also a good poll, isn’t it? So it’s not that their methodology is wrong but you think they m… https://t.co/MNdbx5Giq6

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated