Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Sep 22 12:08:07 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A different way to think about it: --If Biden outperforms the polls by 2, he's the winner on 11/3 with a FL call at 8PM and--no joke--a TX call possibly making Biden pres-elect. --If Trump outperforms by 2, we've got to wait days for Biden to squeak out PA/MI/WI w mail votes — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The world where Biden's basically tied in GA/TX/IA/OH but can't claim a clear 5 point lead in PA/FL averages is one *really* easy for the race to either turn into a total blowout or a highly competitive contest, with a big popular vote-Electoral College gap — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And obviously it goes without saying that someone could outperform the polls by more than 2! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated